Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 420.669750 477.741335 540.980217 616.469349 704.414031 803.973021 925.690164
2026-01-04 346.054952 423.775502 517.776226 640.781244 798.874921 997.102204 1267.407361
2026-01-11 297.236768 382.349880 491.411451 643.234541 852.017008 1133.326639 1548.409772
2026-01-18 257.014109 343.430352 459.257776 628.589666 874.451845 1225.781277 1779.415327
2026-01-25 226.926319 313.041663 432.925520 615.662378 893.743398 1312.126132 2011.227783
2026-02-01 211.273414 300.273238 428.675218 632.335816 956.598693 1469.627545 2378.181743
2026-02-08 193.699054 282.398187 414.347903 630.977594 989.838626 1583.512242 2691.375337
2026-02-15 177.605541 264.860431 398.259228 624.172596 1012.144314 1680.836536 2991.029602
2026-02-22 166.258279 253.367086 390.089076 628.702901 1053.186682 1815.061299 3382.499272
2026-03-01 153.349226 238.112720 374.224070 618.107721 1065.668070 1898.481800 3688.973801
2026-03-08 143.071313 226.160859 362.532552 613.166271 1087.228643 2001.146483 4053.753241
2026-03-15 130.585282 209.491328 341.361618 588.903652 1069.143523 2023.117110 4247.244312
2026-03-22 126.372480 206.622401 343.912475 608.819384 1140.116118 2238.141589 4929.292002
2026-03-29 123.118471 205.124979 348.719488 633.531518 1224.243601 2495.372945 5775.936908
2026-04-05 116.926792 197.891359 342.447940 635.906787 1262.157229 2657.259176 6423.033676
2026-04-12 109.062471 187.025612 328.519395 621.457119 1261.949553 2731.816235 6856.894000
2026-04-19 102.141983 177.374364 316.069998 608.698931 1263.741161 2811.254661 7324.243064
2026-04-26 99.335871 175.146081 317.592095 625.153960 1333.803374 3069.219568 8379.569117
2026-05-03 94.692936 169.091093 311.126140 623.813563 1362.111052 3226.459996 9173.369326
2026-05-10 89.836073 162.281427 302.611736 617.097789 1376.589749 3349.939530 9895.096459
2026-05-17 86.506399 158.209780 299.284325 621.568712 1419.180927 3557.179225 10960.885193
2026-05-24 81.947797 151.403583 289.823051 611.112307 1422.640419 3655.564702 11675.861388
2026-05-31 78.244244 146.073685 283.046656 606.235454 1439.994108 3797.524687 12597.856939